IMF expects Ukraine's GDP growth to accelerate to 3.5% in 2027

IMF maintains optimistic forecast for 2027

In the latest edition of the World Economic Outlook, the International Monetary Fund confirmed its expectations for the development of the Ukrainian economy. According to the Fund's data, GDP growth will stand at 1% in 2026, while the indicator is set to accelerate to 3.5% the following year, in 2027. IMF analysts believe that after the current slowdown, the economy will return to a trajectory of dynamic growth.

Other international organisations downgrade estimates

Meanwhile, most other analytical centres have recently revised their forecasts in a negative direction. In particular, the World Bank has significantly lowered its forecast for 2027: where growth of 4% was previously expected, the current estimate stands at just 1.5%.

The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) forecasts a figure of 2.5% for Ukraine in 2027.

Dragon Capital expects economic contraction

The most pessimistic scenario is offered by Dragon Capital. According to the company's data, Ukraine's economy will shrink by 0.5% in 2026, and GDP could decrease by a further 1% the following year, in 2027.