After two strategies fail, Kremlin bets on exhausting Ukraine and splitting Europe

After two strategies fail, Kremlin bets on exhausting Ukraine and splitting Europe
After two strategies fail, Kremlin bets on exhausting Ukraine and splitting Europe

The Russian Federation has changed its tactics in the war against Ukraine, focusing on exhausting Ukraine and sowing discord among its Western allies. The Wall Street Journal writes about this, analysing the Kremlin's current strategy after the failures of previous plans.

Two failed attempts to achieve victory

It is noted that previously Volodymyr Putin counted on four main paths to victory over Ukraine. However, two of these scenarios did not yield the expected results. First, Russia failed to bring about the collapse of the Ukrainian armed forces. Second, the bet on pressure from US President Donald Trump also proved ineffective: Moscow had expected Washington to force Kyiv to agree to territorial concessions, but this did not work.

New priorities: infrastructure and splitting Europe

The Kremlin is now focusing on two other directions. The first is intensifying attacks on Ukrainian cities and critical infrastructure. Russia is trying to disable power, heating, and water supply systems, as well as damage the Ukrainian economy ahead of the winter period.

The second scenario involves weakening European support for Ukraine. Moscow expects that economic difficulties, rising cost of living, and the growing popularity of political forces opposing aid to Kyiv will deepen divisions between European countries.

Scepticism about changes in Europe and RF problems

Meanwhile, as the publication notes, European governments continue to support Ukraine for now. However, the Kremlin may be hoping for a change in the political situation in certain European states, particularly due to the strengthening of populist parties that oppose military and financial aid to Kyiv.

WSJ also draws attention to the difficulties of the Russian economy. The budget deficit and significant war expenditures create additional pressure on the Kremlin.

According to analysts' estimates, in the spring of 2027, Putin will likely have to reassess his strategy. At the same time, this does not necessarily mean Moscow will abandon its goals regarding Ukraine.

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