JD Vance may not run for US president in 2028

Hesitation over presidential race participation

US Vice President JD Vance is seriously considering not running in the 2028 presidential election. He may make this decision against the backdrop of the devastating defeat suffered by Republicans during last week's midterm elections. This was reported by CNN, citing sources close to the Vice President.

Although no final decision has been made, conversations with approximately a dozen of Vance's allies and advisers indicate his uncertainty. One of the publication's interlocutors noted: «Я не здивувався б жодному рішенню, яке він ухвалить. Йому лише 42 роки. Він достатньо молодий, щоб повернутися у велику політику, якщо за нинішніх обставин досягти успіху буде неможливо. Можливо, просто ще не настав його час» (I would not be surprised by any decision he makes. He is only 42 years old. He is young enough to return to big politics if success is impossible under current circumstances. Perhaps his time has simply not yet come).

Assessments of chances and reaction from his circle

Vance was previously considered the undisputed favourite in the 2028 presidential race. He has not yet set a deadline for making a final decision, but his potential participation in the election remains quite realistic. Some of his allies are convinced that the probability of the Vice President running exceeds 50%.

Vance's supporters were encouraged by a lengthy post he published on the social network X in the morning after the midterms. In the post, the Vice President blamed the war with Iran for the Republicans' massive losses. His supporters interpreted this post as a signal of a possible foundation for a future presidential campaign.

Private thoughts and personal circumstances

However, in private conversations with friends and loyal comrades, Vance displays less confidence. People in his circle insist that at the beginning of the year, he had not yet made a final decision about running in the election. In addition, the birth of his fourth child this summer has already sparked speculation in the White House that he may postpone his presidential ambitions.

Recently, his reflections have focused on a fundamental question: whether he – or any other Republican – can win under the current political conditions shaped by Trump.